Adam Silverstein

Florida Favorite

Adam is a CBS Sports assistant managing editor who has been picking college football and NFL since 2002. Born and raised in Florida, he has been covering sports since 1996 when he began his own newsletter and has not stopped following the ins and outs of the games we love. Though he will take the occasional underdog, Adam often looks for value with the favorites, especially after sharp money comes in and lines fall below key numbers. In 2016 he cashed at a 62 percent rate and in 2017 he went 26-18 (59 percent) on NFL picks. Silverstein capped it off by riding the Eagles (+4.5) in Super Bowl 52. For Adam Silverstein media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

19-9-1 IN LAST 29 NFL ATS PICKS | +913

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Adam's
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Green Bay -9 GB -9

San Francisco 30 @ Green Bay 33
10/16
SF 30 @ GB 33
10/16
LOSS
Mon 10/15

If there was every a time that I would pick a team by near-double digits, it is the Green Bay Packers on Monday Night Football against a 49ers team that is 0-11 ATS when facing such long odds. With Green Bay on a 2-6 ATS streak as of late, I'd have thought that this would be closer to a touchdown. Instead, this line is fluctuating upwards. Green Bay is better suited to deal with its myriad of injuries than San Francisco, and I just do not see Alfred Morris getting enough on the ground to fuel the 49ers. Mason Crosby should be primed for a bounce back performance for the Packers. The true best bet here may be a six-point tease with the Over. But since I can't do that, let's take the Pack to roll on Monday night.

19-9-1 IN LAST 29 NFL ATS PICKS | +913

3-1 IN LAST 4 GB ATS PICKS | +190

Kansas City +3.5 KC +3.5

Kansas City 40 @ New England 43
10/15
KC 40 @ NE 43
10/15
WIN
Sun 10/14

The Pats are 3-0 ATS at home this season, while the Chiefs enter Sunday night's game 5-0 ATS overall. Something's got to give. Many will point to Bill Belichick having 10 days to prepare for Kansas City and New England's tremendous ATS record at home, but the genius of Andy Reid in KC is that his game plan changes drastically week to week. It's not if Belichick can prepare for Reid, it's whether he can adjust to him at halftime. The Chiefs have scored against better defenses than the Pats', and yes, New England has lit up way better defenses than the one Kansas City brings to town. I truly believe this game could go either way, and thus, I'll take the points. If you can buy up to four on your service, that is highly advisable. The favorite on SNF is 1-7-1 ATS over the last nine.

19-9-1 IN LAST 29 NFL ATS PICKS | +913

3-0 IN LAST 3 KC ATS PICKS | +300

3-1 IN LAST 4 NE ATS PICKS | +199

Pittsburgh +1 PIT +1

Pittsburgh 28 @ Cincinnati 21
10/14
PIT 28 @ CIN 21
10/14
WIN
Sun 10/14

Expecting this to be a relatively high-scoring game, I'm going to stay away from the total which could fall on either side of the over/under. Instead, I'm going to go with the quarterback who has dominated this rivalry; his name is Ben Roethlisberger. Both teams pulled off big wins a week ago, but let's not forget the Bengals needed the Dolphins to implode. The Steelers stormed the Falcons in a dominant win, bouncing back from the tough Ravens loss in style. This is another meeting between these teams that should come down to the wire, and I expect Pittsburgh to stand on top at the end.

19-9-1 IN LAST 29 NFL ATS PICKS | +913

3-0 IN LAST 3 PIT ATS PICKS | +300

L.A. Chargers +1 LAC +1

L.A. Chargers 38 @ Cleveland 14
10/14
LAC 38 @ CLE 14
10/14
WIN
Sun 10/14

The Browns have been impressive, particularly at home where they have won consecutive games, but this is not a team to me that has been completely turned around -- and I am a massive Baker Mayfield fan. The Chargers are not awful at 1 p.m. starts, and they're also not going all the way out to the East Coast where they are more susceptible to early-game letdowns. Not having lost California since Sept. 16 is a bit concerning, but Los Angeles should be able to win this outright. I'll take the extra point just in case.

19-9-1 IN LAST 29 NFL ATS PICKS | +913

5-1 IN LAST 6 CLE ATS PICKS | +385

2-1 IN LAST 3 LAC ATS PICKS | +93

Baltimore -2.5 BAL -2.5

Baltimore 21 @ Tennessee 0
10/14
BAL 21 @ TEN 0
10/14
WIN
Sun 10/14

Last week's game against the Browns was a weird one for the Ravens, but let's not act like the Titans did something spectacular in a one-point loss to the Bills. Tennessee has surprised me with wins over Jacksonville and Philadelphia, but I simply have no belief in this team as a whole. I expect the Ravens to play more like the team that beat the Steelers and Broncos by double digits.

19-9-1 IN LAST 29 NFL ATS PICKS | +913

3-1 IN LAST 4 BAL ATS PICKS | +180

2-1 IN LAST 3 TEN ATS PICKS | +85

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