Mike McClure

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10-5-2 IN LAST 17 NFL PICKS | +473

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Mike's
Past Picks

Toronto -2 TOR -2

Toronto 124 @ Utah 111
11/06
TOR 124 @ UTA 111
11/06
WIN
Mon 11/5

The Raptors are on the second night of a road back-to-back but that's not much of a concern for me at this point in the season. I'm expecting Kawhi Leonard to return to the lineup tonight after sitting for rest against the Lakers. The loss of Donovan Mitchell is going to really hurt the Jazz ability to score enough points in this one. Laying the road chalk on a back-to-back rarely works out, but this Raptors team is different.

3-0 IN LAST 3 UTA ATS PICKS | +300

Boston +2 BOS +2

Boston 107 @ Denver 115
11/06
BOS 107 @ DEN 115
11/06
LOSS
Mon 11/5

The crowd in Denver isn't very strong but there is still a very real home court advantage due to the altitude. Boston has a relatively deep bench, so they don't take as big of a hit in my model like other teams would. I have this game as a true pick'em tonight which makes this a clear play with Paul Millsap listed as questionable for the Nuggets.

7-4-1 IN LAST 12 BOS ATS PICKS | +256

3-1 IN LAST 4 DEN ATS PICKS | +193

L.A. Dodgers +148 LAD +148

L.A. Dodgers 4 @ Boston 8
10/24
LAD 4 @ BOS 8
10/24
LOSS
Tue 10/23

The line on this game has reached a laughable point. Tonight is the first time Clayton Kershaw has been an underdog since July of 2012. Are the Red Sox the better team? Yes. Do the Red Sox win this game more than 50 percent of the time? Probably. Does Clayton Kershaw lead the Dodgers to a victory more than 40.3% of the time (implied probability)? Absolutely. While it's reasonable to expect the Red Sox to win, I'm taking the extreme value with the Dodgers on the moneyline.

3-1 IN LAST 4 MLB ATS PICKS | +345

5-1 IN LAST 6 BOS ML PICKS | +410

Milwaukee -3 MIL -3

Milwaukee 113 @ Charlotte 112
10/17
MIL 113 @ CHA 112
10/17
LOSS
Wed 10/17

The Bucks open the season on the road but they're still undervalued in this spot against the Hornets. Giannis is on a mission to lead this team to a strong playoff run in the East. With the addition of the 3-point shot in the offseason, Giannis is basically unstopable. This Bucks team is very good. I have them as -5 favorites in the opener. Lay it.

3-0 IN LAST 3 MIL ATS PICKS | +300

2-1 IN LAST 3 CHA ATS PICKS | +95

OVER 220.5 OVER 220.5

Oklahoma City 100 @ Golden St. 108
10/17
OKC 100 @ GS 108
10/17
LOSS
Tue 10/16

The total has dropped 5 points here with Russell Westbrook scheduled to miss the game. My issue with this is Dennis Schroder plays at the same pace (98.32 vs. 98.64) and has similar offensive numbers (same PPP and 51.5 vs. 52.5 TS%). The big difference is Schroder is much worse defensively. I had this game projected at 226 with Westbrook in and 223 with Westbrook out. I'm taking the Over.

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