Dave Richard

Fantasy Football Guy

Dave Richard has spent nearly his entire career covering the National Football League. Beginning with NFL.com at the boom of the Internet, Richard was that site's first Fantasy Football writer before transitioning to CBS Sports in 2006. Since then he's crunched the numbers, studied the film, developed tiers and trade charts, previewed every NFL game, talked to the decision makers and earned multiple honors. Since joining SportsLine in 2016, Richard is a sizzling 21-8 (72 percent) on NFL picks, returning $1,015 to $100 players. For Dave Richard media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

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Dave's
Past Picks

UNDER 52.5 UNDER 52.5

Atlanta 13 @ New Orleans 23
12/24
ATL 13 @ NO 23
12/24
WIN
Sat 12/23

I think both teams want to run the football in this one. I don't think either team has a prolific passing game despite their incredible receivers. The Saints have put up at least 30 points in each of their last four at home but the Falcons have matched that number twice in their last 11 and have been below 23 points six times in those games. With both defenses playing well, I'll take my chances on them combining for just under 52 points.

Cincinnati +145 CIN +145

Detroit 17 @ Cincinnati 26
12/24
DET 17 @ CIN 26
12/24
WIN
Sat 12/23

This is a gut call. Cincinnati's defense is getting healthier (Vontaze Burfict and Dre Kirkpatrick are expected to play) while the Lions' offensive line will be without at least two starters (center Travis Swanson and guard T.J. Lang) and a third is questionable (Rick Wagner). The Lions already had a hard time running the ball, now they'll have a hard time protecting Matthew Stafford. If Marvin Lewis' tenure is coming to an end and we know it, then the players know it, too. I'd expect a big effort from the Bengals against a non-conference opponent in their home finale.

Carolina +120 CAR +120

Minnesota 24 @ Carolina 31
12/10
MIN 24 @ CAR 31
12/10
WIN
Sun 12/10

The Vikings' offensive line isn't at full strength, but the Panthers' O-line is. Take Carolina to win outright.

Denver -140 DEN -140

Cincinnati 20 @ Denver 17
11/19
CIN 20 @ DEN 17
11/19
LOSS
Fri 11/17

The Broncos and Bengals have played each of the last three seasons with Denver winning twice, including a convincing 29-17 win in Cincinnati last year. There's familiarity between these teams and I think the Broncos have an advantage playing at home and playing with more healthy players than the Bengals. Expecting a big game from Von Miller and the secondary, look for the Broncos to win their first game in six weeks.

OVER 45 OVER 45

Carolina 17 @ Tampa Bay 3
10/29
CAR 17 @ TB 3
10/29
LOSS
Wed 10/25

Both defenses are in trouble -- Carolina allowed 24 or more points in each of four games before last week's debacle at Chicago. Tampa Bay allowed 23 or more points in four of its last five. The Bucs' lack of a decent pass rush should give Cam Newton plenty of time to make plays, and Jameis Winston should also find the getting good with so many dangerous targets on the field. Expect a bunch of defensive lapses from both sides, and go Over.

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