Micah Roberts

Former Vegas Bookmaker

27-18-2 IN LAST 47 NFL ATS PICKS | +716

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Micah's
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11/21

11/21
LOSS
Mon 11/19

This game is being played in the Bahamas and the wrong team is favored. South Dakota will be competing for the Summit League title, but the Coyotes have been rated too high so far, losing as favorites to High Point and Air Force in their last two games. UMBC won against both of those teams between the last three days. This is the squad that beat Virginia as a No. 16 seed in the NCAA's last season, minus two starters including their leading scorer. The system and coach are still intact. UMBC is the play.

UNDER 139.5 UNDER 139.5

Loyola-Chi. 82 vs Richmond 66
11/19
LOYCHI 82 vs RICH 66
11/19
LOSS
Mon 11/19

Loyola is certainly the better team here, but it has been overrated so far this season after a Final Four run last season. This is too many points for a neutral site in Fort Myers, Fla., but I don't want Richmond, either. What is also too high here is the total. Loyola is allowing just 57 points per game, down from the 62 points per game last season. Under is the top play here.

Cincinnati +4 CIN +4

Cincinnati 21 @ Baltimore 24
11/18
CIN 21 @ BAL 24
11/18
WIN
Sat 11/17

Joe Flacco is doubtful which means it's time to pick on rookie Lamar Jackson or maybe even Robert Griffin. Either way, there's an edge, and Flacco's junk, but he's still way better than the other two. The dog has gone 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings. The Bengals have won the past two meetings, the last coming in Week 2. One more thing, the Ravens have lost three straight (0-3 ATS) coming in. Bengals get the cover and probably win.

27-18-2 IN LAST 47 NFL ATS PICKS | +716

3-1 IN LAST 4 CIN ATS PICKS | +190

2-1 IN LAST 3 BAL ATS PICKS | +78

UNDER 41 UNDER 41

Oakland 23 @ Arizona 21
11/18
OAK 23 @ ARI 21
11/18
LOSS
Sat 11/17

I'm certainly not going to lay the points with the Cardinals, but I couldn't blame anyone for betting against the Raiders who are 0-5 their last five and also have failed to cover in all five. Four of those games stayed Under because the Raiders scored 6, 3, 3 and 10 points. The Cards have a good defense and they've stayed Under their last two, not mention going 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven. The Cards were favored for the only time this season in the opener and lost outright. Just the Under.

27-18-2 IN LAST 47 NFL ATS PICKS | +716

3-0 IN LAST 3 OAK O/U PICKS | +300

UNDER 42.5 UNDER 42.5

Houston 23 @ Washington 21
11/18
HOU 23 @ WAS 21
11/18
LOSS
Sat 11/17

I was so ready to play the Texans this week on a six-game win streak, but a few things pulled me back that led me to believe the Under is the best play as both squads have gone 6-3 to the Under. When the Redskins are in this spot this season favored by 1 to being +3.5 they're 6-1 ATS and they're 5-1 ATS as a dog and 3-0 as a home dog. But both these teams have stayed Under in four of their last five due to great defense. Under is the play.

27-18-2 IN LAST 47 NFL ATS PICKS | +716

2-1 IN LAST 3 WAS O/U PICKS | +90

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